But What if Your Core Hypothesis is Wrong?

Another from Mrs. Weer’d, the Cult of Climate change marches on:

For the first time, scientists have identified tropical and subtropical species of marine protozoa living in the Arctic Ocean. Apparently, they traveled thousands of miles on Atlantic currents and ended up above Norway with an unusual – but naturally cyclic – pulse of warm water, not as a direct result of overall warming climate, say the researchers. On the other hand: arctic waters are warming rapidly, and such pulses are predicted to grow as global climate change causes shifts in long-distance currents. Thus, colleagues wonder if the exotic creatures offers a preview of climate-induced changes already overtaking the oceans and land, causing redistributions of species and shifts in ecology. The study, by a team from the United States, Norway and Russia, was just published in the British Journal of Micropalaeontology.

The creatures in question are radiolaria – microscopic one-celled plankton that envelop themselves in ornate glassy shells and graze on marine algae, bacteria and other tiny prey. Different species inhabit characteristic temperature ranges, and their shells coat much of the world’s ocean bottoms in a deep ooze going back millions of years; thus climate scientists routinely analyze layers of them to plot swings in ocean temperatures in the past. The new study looks at where radiolarians are living now.

It makes sense if the world continues to warm that things will greatly change….but what if the core hypothesis is wrong? And I have a hard time buying that when so many researches had to go to such lengths to fabricate it. I mean does your science teacher need to conduct an elaborate hoax to demonstrate basic scientific principals? When you’re putting more effort into making your data LOOK a certain way then you are actually collecting it, I smell a rat!

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0 Responses to But What if Your Core Hypothesis is Wrong?

  1. Jack says:

    Not only is the data being tortured but what data there is, is woefully lacking in depth and accuracy.

    Climate Science starts off with a very bad handicap. You can’t run experiments. There’s no ordering a bunch of coupons of metal to bend, no mass of rats to test, no test cell engine you can run and take measurements from.

    Nope, we’ve got the set of climate data on Earth (and some much lesser sets from other planets). And unlike geology the past climate data on earth is much to get with any spatial accuracy, which is really bad. And all the past climate data is proxy data which requires “correction”. Then again current temperature data is often “corrected”.

    And recall that errors stack. And that all these errors directly hurt the accuracy of your predictions, and there’s not “correcting” them out. To do that is a direct judgment call on the part of the sciences to “massage” the data, which invariably yields to it supporting their biases. A “Bad Thing”

    Now not all experiments are impossible science is critically hobbled. Take astronomy and its related fields. Though they’ve got a nice advantage in a huge range to take data from, and the ability to look into the past for their observations.

    And worse the forces modeling climate systems are hilariously complex and depend on solar input, chemical kinetics, turbulence, weather modeling, biological inputs, geology, and a host of other factors. All for models that can only be calibrated to the one set of existing data, that’s a poor calibration.

    A better calibration would be if they had a way to experimentally control for one variable get a bunch of data, then control for the next, yielding a data map that they could then conform to. But again, Climate Scientists can’t do that.

    And here’s the best part, those climate models? If you set them to a “present” of 1980 or 1990 they can’t predict to the present worth beans. Even a delta t of ten years gives them fits.

    Models are only valid predictive tools for the areas they’ve been calibrated and checked too. If you ask them to predict emergent behavior… you’re going into shot in the dark time.

    And that’s the biggest problem with the “Climate Science” thing, they ask for complete and utter faith in trusting their black box model predictions that they could not possibly have validated. The best they have is a shaky declaration of “correlation” that they claim to be iron clad causation.

    Remember, when CERN announced that they had found the “Higgs Boson” they didn’t deflect critics by saying the “science was settled” or point to how many scientist had signed a letter supporting the particle’s existence.

  2. Jack says:

    And Weerd, I know you know all that. It’s just a burr in my saddle when these “scientists” flap their jaws. Damn cultists. Though it does show that humanity’s got a hard-on for religion, and people will set themselves up as priests if they can.

    • Weerd Beard says:

      I think its just a trait of humanity. People gravitate to religion, and they develop hatred for other religion. Take a divide as simple as Protestants and Catholics. They study from the same book, they worship the same God, but they each call the others nuts.

      Just the ironic difference is the rabid Atheists who claim all religions are bad and wrong, but have a zealous support for nebulous junk science.

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