Images of the Antis: Graph

Let’s dive into this turd!

Everytown Graph Auto

So let’s first dive into the linked article:

The Economist charted the forecast for 2015 and beyond, based on an analysis of federal data by the Center for American Progress

So left-wing psudo news site Vox is reporting that left-wing “Research” firm has made an anti-gun discovery! CONFIRMATION BIAS ALERT!!!!

Still what’s really interesting is the predictions made. The overall trend in the “Gun Death” graph AND the “Auto death” is a decline, but the “Prediction” for “Gun Death” is for it to stay the same, but for “Auto Death” is to continue to decline indefinitely.

What’s behind this change? It’s not that gun violence is getting worse. The number of deaths from car accidents is on the decline, thanks in some part to fewer drunk driving deaths. Deaths from gun violence also dropped, along with all violent crime, since the early 1990s. But gun-related deaths have failed to drop significantly further in recent years, held up by homicides, suicides, and accidents.

So our gun and violent crime rate is DOWN, and your graph says they will no longer decline, so we should ban guns!

Good job guys!

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9 Responses to Images of the Antis: Graph

  1. Bubblehead Les says:

    Uh, please explain to me in their last sentence how a Homicide is NOT to be considered a “Violent Crime?”

  2. Bob S. says:

    One of the problems I have with this graph is it does not account for the why things are happening.

    Automotive related deaths are declining, mostly but not entirely, due to improved technology that can be implemented in the very complex machinery that are cars. Blind Spot alerts, lane drift alerts, increasing the number of air bags, etc.

    What isn’t changing greatly? Human behavior. We still have people driving drunk — despite decades of social conditioning and increasing punitive laws. Has it been reduced, yep. — maybe that would reduce firearm related deaths.

    We still have people driving the wrong way in traffic — despite GPS, and more signs then ever. We still have people trying to beat red lights – despite cameras and protected turn lanes and flashing lights and more traffic laws than ever.

    Most of the technological changes possible for firearms — even if fully developed and perfected — would not reduce the number of deaths. It is such a small percentage that are ‘accidental’ — most are suicides and homicides. So fingerprint technology wouldn’t work for decades to reduce homicides due to stolen firearms. Any ‘Smart gun’ technology wouldn’t reduce the number of suicides to any degree; most of the suicides are with personally owned firearms.

    Oh — and by the way, did you notice the slight of hand the ‘study’ pulled?

    Causes of death for people aged 15 to 24.

    Millennials are less car-focused than older Americans and previous generations of young people, and their transportation behaviors continue to change in ways that reduce driving.

    Between 2001 and 2009, the average number of miles driven by 16 to 34 year-olds dropped by 23 percent, as a result of young people taking fewer trips, shorter trips, and a larger share of trips by modes other than driving. Young Americans drive less than older Americans and use public transportation more, and often use multiple modes of travel during a typical day or week.
    In recent years, young people appear to have continued to shift away from driving:
    Census data show that the share of 16 to 24 year-olds traveling to work by car declined by 1.5 percentage points between 2006 and 2013, while the share of young people getting to work by public transportation, on foot or by bicycle, or else working from home, had increased.
    Young people aged 20 to 30 are less likely to move from central cities to suburbs than a decade ago.
    Driver’s licensing among young people has continued to decline. The percentage of high school seniors with driver’s licenses declined from 85 percent to 73 percent between 1996 and 2010, according to the AAA Foundation for Highway Safety, with federal data suggesting that the decline has continued since 2010.
    Young people are not the only Americans who are driving less. The number of miles driven by the average American has declined nearly continuously since 2004. Americans now drive no more in total than we did in 2005 and no more on average than we did at the beginning of President Bill Clinton’s second term in office./i>

    So could it be possible that the majority of the decrease is simply because people are driving less; especially the younger people – say 15 to 24?

  3. TS says:

    If you may recall, Bloomberg came out with a “gun deaths to pass auto deaths by 2015” study three years ago. That didn’t happen, so now they have to revise their prediction to be only for 15-24 year olds.

  4. WallPhone says:

    Speaking of missed gun/auto intersections, the’re was one for 2001 as well:

    > Projected year when deaths from gunfire will surpass death from auto accidents: > 2001 (Source: CDC National Center for Injury Prevention and Control Fact Sheet, 1/25/96)

  5. Burnt Toast says:

    With the Obama economy I am surprised that ‘gun deaths’ has flat-lined. Maybe in ten or twenty years we may find that the numbers were jiggered for PR purposes.

    • Weerd Beard says:

      While Obama has done numbers on the Economy, he hasn’t done much on guns and gun ownership. Actually due to his vocal threats he’s woken up a LOT of non gun owners, causing them to buy their first gun and get their carry permit.

      And with that, I suspect that’s why crime has dropped so much.

  6. Pingback: Interesting Study On Cars | Weer'd World

  7. Archer says:

    Good news everyone!

    Extrapolating from this graph, by the year 2050 cars will be bringing dead kids back to life, evidenced by the negative death rate! Possibly even some of those killed by “gun violence” (insert dramatic “Dun-dun-DUUUNNNN!” sound here)!

    Hey, they have a cute graph, therefore the Science is Settled! *snerk* 😉

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